Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.302608 0.352817 0.405898 0.465920 0.531631 0.601122 0.679902
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.232090 0.300190 0.376930 0.468714 0.574422 0.691330 0.829367
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.173794 0.250104 0.341731 0.457246 0.596446 0.756396 0.951683
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.141089 0.224352 0.330229 0.469880 0.644534 0.851392 1.110519
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.108312 0.192327 0.305916 0.462776 0.666196 0.914115 1.232108
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.092439 0.180383 0.305465 0.484568 0.723338 1.020573 1.408411
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.073789 0.160613 0.291315 0.485880 0.752812 1.092325 1.542948
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.059099 0.143951 0.279090 0.487816 0.781831 1.163085 1.676788
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.049519 0.133854 0.275107 0.500283 0.824524 1.251659 1.834199
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.042446 0.126732 0.274626 0.517119 0.873034 1.348258 2.003045
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.036395 0.120196 0.274104 0.533282 0.920489 1.443899 2.171775
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.028422 0.107468 0.261445 0.529479 0.938618 1.499869 2.288928
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023005 0.099168 0.255849 0.536758 0.973633 1.580508 2.441611
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017100 0.087494 0.242470 0.530266 0.987674 1.632270 2.556483
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011516 0.073890 0.223214 0.512201 0.983018 1.657272 2.635219
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009150 0.069067 0.220828 0.522426 1.021463 1.743258 2.797543
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006147 0.059903 0.207775 0.512776 1.028275 1.783929 2.898099
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.005257 0.058804 0.212363 0.534863 1.085474 1.897694 3.100530
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.003686 0.053157 0.205591 0.535515 1.108206 1.961670 3.234549
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002524 0.048230 0.199663 0.537130 1.132194 2.027534 3.371674
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001904 0.045885 0.199794 0.550151 1.174928 2.121366 3.548803
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001499 0.044572 0.202385 0.567922 1.225701 2.227550 3.744130
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001155 0.043214 0.204641 0.585025 1.275610 2.332973 3.939288